First TD Scorer Predictions Tonight
Friday, November 13, 2026 · Next up: Week 10 · Sun Nov 15 – Mon Nov 16
Most likely to score their team's first touchdown in Week 10, by the last 10 games: Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts, 4 of 10), Bijan Robinson (Atlanta Falcons, 3 of 10), and Christian Watson (Green Bay Packers, 3 of 10).
First touchdown scorer predictions for tonight's NFL games. See who's most likely to score the first TD today based on last 10 games data. Free first TD scorer picks.
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
11/15/2026 08:30 AM
New England Patriots
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Romeo Doubs 20%2/10
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TreVeyon Henderson 20%2/10
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Austin Hooper 10%1/10
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DeMario Douglas 10%1/10
-
Eli Raridon 10%1/10
Detroit Lions
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Jahmyr Gibbs 20%2/10
-
Isaac TeSlaa 10%1/10
-
Jameson Williams 10%1/10
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Kenneth Walker III 20%2/10
-
Brashard Smith 10%1/10
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Patrick Mahomes 10%1/10
-
Rashee Rice 10%1/10
Atlanta Falcons
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Bijan Robinson 30%3/10
-
Drake London 10%1/10
-
Jessie Bates III 10%1/10
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Buffalo Bills
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Josh Allen 20%2/10
-
Dawson Knox 10%1/10
New York Jets
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Kenyon Sadiq 20%2/10
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Garrett Wilson 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
BUF
First TD: Dawson Knox
NYJ
First TD: None
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets · Week 2 (Sep 14, 2025)
BUF
First TD: James Cook
NYJ
First TD: None
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Miami Dolphins
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Caleb Douglas 10%1/10
-
Malik Washington 10%1/10
-
Ollie Gordon II 10%1/10
Indianapolis Colts
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Jonathan Taylor 40%4/10
-
Alec Pierce 10%1/10
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Keenan Allen 10%1/10
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Mo Alie-Cox 10%1/10
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Tyler Warren 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts · Week 1 (Sep 07, 2025)
IND
First TD: Michael Pittman Jr.
MIA
First TD: None
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Minnesota Vikings
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Aaron Jones Sr. 10%1/10
-
C.J. Ham 10%1/10
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J.J. McCarthy 10%1/10
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Justin Jefferson 10%1/10
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Myles Price 10%1/10
Green Bay Packers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Christian Watson 30%3/10
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Matthew Golden 20%2/10
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MarShawn Lloyd 10%1/10
-
Tucker Kraft 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings · Week 1 (Sep 13, 2026)
GB
First TD: Christian Watson
MIN
First TD: None
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
GB
First TD: None
MIN
First TD: C.J. Ham
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers · Week 12 (Nov 23, 2025)
GB
First TD: Emanuel Wilson
MIN
First TD: None
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Carolina Panthers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Chuba Hubbard 30%3/10
-
Tommy Tremble 10%1/10
New Orleans Saints
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Chris Olave 10%1/10
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Juwan Johnson 10%1/10
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Kendre Miller 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints · Week 15 (Dec 14, 2025)
CAR
First TD: Rico Dowdle
NO
First TD: None
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers · Week 10 (Nov 09, 2025)
CAR
First TD: Rico Dowdle
NO
First TD: None
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Parker Washington 30%3/10
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Brian Thomas Jr. 20%2/10
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Bhayshul Tuten 10%1/10
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Josh Cameron 10%1/10
Tennessee Titans
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Cam Ward 20%2/10
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Tony Pollard 20%2/10
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Chig Okonkwo 10%1/10
-
Wan'Dale Robinson 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
JAX
First TD: None
TEN
First TD: Cam Ward
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans · Week 13 (Nov 30, 2025)
JAX
First TD: Jakobi Meyers
TEN
First TD: None
Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns
11/15/2026 12:00 PM
Houston Texans
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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C.J. Stroud 10%1/10
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David Montgomery 10%1/10
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Derek Stingley Jr. 10%1/10
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Foster Moreau 10%1/10
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Jayden Higgins 10%1/10
Cleveland Browns
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Harold Fannin Jr. 20%2/10
Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders
11/15/2026 03:05 PM
Seattle Seahawks
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Zach Charbonnet 30%3/10
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba 20%2/10
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Emanuel Wilson 10%1/10
Las Vegas Raiders
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Ashton Jeanty 10%1/10
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Brock Bowers 10%1/10
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Ian Thomas 10%1/10
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Jack Bech 10%1/10
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Tre Tucker 10%1/10
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
11/15/2026 03:05 PM
Los Angeles Rams
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Davante Adams 20%2/10
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Kyren Williams 20%2/10
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Blake Corum 10%1/10
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Davis Allen 10%1/10
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Puka Nacua 10%1/10
Arizona Cardinals
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Jeremiyah Love 10%1/10
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Marvin Harrison Jr. 10%1/10
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Teagan Quitoriano 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams · Week 6 (Oct 18, 2026)
ARI
First TD: None
LAR
First TD: Blake Corum
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
ARI
First TD: None
LAR
First TD: Puka Nacua
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals · Week 14 (Dec 07, 2025)
ARI
First TD: Michael Wilson
LAR
First TD: None
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
11/15/2026 03:25 PM
San Francisco 49ers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Christian McCaffrey 20%2/10
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Deebo Samuel 10%1/10
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Deebo Samuel Sr. 10%1/10
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George Kittle 10%1/10
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Mike Evans 10%1/10
Dallas Cowboys
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Javonte Williams 20%2/10
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CeeDee Lamb 10%1/10
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Jake Ferguson 10%1/10
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James Mitchell 10%1/10
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Jaydon Blue 10%1/10
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
11/15/2026 07:20 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Roman Wilson 20%2/10
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Darnell Washington 10%1/10
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Jaylen Warren 10%1/10
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Rico Dowdle 10%1/10
Cincinnati Bengals
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Ja'Marr Chase 20%2/10
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Chase Brown 10%1/10
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Demetrius Knight Jr. 10%1/10
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Mike Gesicki 10%1/10
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Tee Higgins 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3 (Sep 27, 2026)
CIN
First TD: None
PIT
First TD: Roman Wilson
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11 (Nov 16, 2025)
CIN
First TD: None
PIT
First TD: Kenneth Gainwell
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals · Week 7 (Oct 16, 2025)
CIN
First TD: None
PIT
First TD: Jonnu Smith
Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens
11/16/2026 07:15 PM
Los Angeles Chargers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Keaton Mitchell 10%1/10
Baltimore Ravens
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Derrick Henry 30%3/10
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Devontez Walker 10%1/10
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Josh Cuevas 10%1/10
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Zay Flowers 10%1/10
First TD Scorer FAQ
Who scored the first touchdown tonight?
Check our predictions above to see who we project to score first in tonight's NFL games. After games complete, visit our weekly tracker to see who actually scored first for every team.
What are first TD scorer odds?
First TD scorer odds reflect the probability of a player scoring the very first touchdown for their team. These odds are typically 3-5x higher than anytime TD odds because only one player per team can win. A player at +500 needs to score first 17% of the time to be profitable.
How to bet on first touchdown scorer?
To bet on first TD scorer, analyze goal-line roles, opening drive tendencies, and red zone target shares. Running backs get 40-45% of first TDs due to goal-line work. Look for players who consistently score first using our historical tracker, then compare odds across sportsbooks.
Which positions score first TDs most often?
Running backs score first touchdowns most often (40-45%), followed by wide receivers (30-35%), tight ends (10-15%), and quarterbacks (5-10%). Goal-line backs and red zone specialists have the highest first TD rates relative to their playing time.